Why Bitcoin’s New Milestone Could Lead to Unprecedented Gains

Photo by David McBee

Bitcoin, the world’s first and most well-known cryptocurrency, has always been a trailblazer in the financial world. Over the years, it has gone through cycles of soaring highs and dramatic lows, but its ability to adapt and evolve remains unmatched. With the advent of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in 2024, Bitcoin is now witnessing a pivotal moment in its history: a surge in adoption among institutional investors. This newfound momentum may hold the key to unlocking significant gains in the years ahead.

The Evolution of Bitcoin ETFs

When Bitcoin ETFs first entered the U.S. market in 2021, they failed to meet investor expectations. These ETFs, linked to Bitcoin futures contracts rather than the cryptocurrency itself, came with inherent flaws:

  1. Futures vs. Spot Prices: Futures contracts often deviate from Bitcoin’s actual price, leading to imperfect tracking.
  2. Rolling Costs: Maintaining exposure to futures required rolling contracts monthly, adding costs passed on to shareholders.

As a result, the first-generation ETFs significantly underperformed Bitcoin. For instance, while the ProShares Bitcoin ETF declined 37% since its launch in October 2021, Bitcoin’s value increased by 60%. This disconnect underscored the limitations of futures-linked ETFs, leaving investors clamoring for a better alternative.

The Arrival of Spot Bitcoin ETFs

In January 2024, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs, marking a transformative moment in Bitcoin’s history. These ETFs directly own Bitcoin, offering a simpler, more accurate way for investors to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency. Notably:

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